We played it in the last week.” All the secrets of Pedro Arr

The campaigns for the Andalusian elections of March 2012 have become the model to avoid in the PP in the face of the elections on May 25. Pedro Arriola, aware of the miscalculations made two years ago, has now designed a strategy in which the party will save its “heavy artillery” for the last week, in which the final result of the European championships will be decided. As sources very close to Arriola himself explain to El Confidencial Digital , the sociologist predicts, taking into account internal demographic studies and the large surveys by Metroscopia and Sigma Dos, a narrow victory for the PP, with 20 seats for the ' popular ' and 18 for the PSOE . However, Mariano Rajoy's advisor privately acknowledges that " everything can change in the last week, which is the one in which we will risk everything ." The biggest fear of Pedro Arriola, and therefore of the entire PP, is that, due to an “excess of confidence”, the party's voters will stay at home on the 25th and not go to the polls. Objective: avoid the Andalusia fiasco The sociologist, explains his closest environment, is still very aware of what happened in Andalusia two years ago. Among the calculation errors made then, and which cost the PP not to access the Board for the first time in its history, Arriola highlights the following: --In March 2012, " the PSOE mobilized its electorate in recent days and we lowered our profile .



This meant that “many of our voters on the coast, especially in Malaga, did not go to vote on election day.” --The PP strategy was based on “ bringing out the heavy artillery at the beginning of the campaign ”, with constant visits by ministers to the region Phone Number List and a very aggressive message. That model is the one that must now be avoided at all costs. Economic message against the “and you more” and the lack of interest in Europe The sources consulted by ECD explain that, in addition to “saving the best for last,” Arriola has designed a campaign in which, above all, messages about economic recovery will prevail. In this sense, "the match will focus on reflecting that there are already signs of improvement and it is in Spain's best interest to follow the path of the last two years." This strategy is also based on the vision that citizens have today of politicians and European elections: -- “People are tired of debates . ” Pedro Arriola has assured his people that the “and you more” speech, used by PP and PSOE in recent campaigns, “has tormented citizens.” For this reason, confrontations with the socialist Elena Valenciano will be avoided . -- Lack of interest in Europe . In a study carried out by the PP sociologist before Easter, “ a third of those surveyed did not know when the European elections were being held or who the candidates were.







For this reason, the Popular Party will focus the campaign in a national key, “remembering why we were elected in 2011.”Despite the refusal of the Congress of Deputies to cede to the Generalitat the power to hold a referendum, Artur Mas maintains his roadmap in the direction of calling the consultation to decide whether Catalonia separates from the rest of Spain. It's more. Months ago, he commissioned the Advisory Council for the National Transition to draft a 'Catalan constitution', so that it would be ready before the end of 2014. The Council, created by the Catalan government in February 2013, was commissioned to draft 19 reports on the consequences that secession would have , and on the challenges that Catalan institutions would have to face if independence were declared. Until now, the Advisory Council for the National Transition (CATN) has published several reports: on the relations of an independent Catalonia with the Spanish State; on the internationalization of the sovereignty process; and on the future Catalan tax administration, among other matters. Confidencial Digital has learned that this advisory body of the Catalan government is also immersed in the preparation of another document with much greater political significance : a 'Catalan constitution' that establishes and regulates this hypothetical independent state.